@ SJS (Jan 23, 2010)vs NJD (Jan 27, 2010) ›

January 25, 2010

General Motors Place | Vancouver

BUF 23 VAN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
VAN0213
Shots on goal BUF 32, VAN 25W R. LuongoL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .880
VAN R. Luongo .938
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 1
VAN 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
B. Lukowich goal (P3 5:21), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 16%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mair
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
18:26
TOI (F)
T. Myers
23:50
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.880 (22/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFVAN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-VAN.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won7-1113-1011-831-29
Hits8-30-52-010-8
Takeaways2-33-33-58-11
Giveaways3-21-12-16-4
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.883VAN 1.117. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFVAN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:21B. Lukowich (1) 46% to 16%-30
  2. P3 01:49T. Vanek (1), power play 19% to 46%+27
  3. P2 08:13M. Samuelsson (1) 70% to 45%-25
  4. P2 11:33H. Sedin (1) 45% to 21%-24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:50
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
10:20
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
1.1
17:28
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
13:41
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
16:11
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
11:22
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
23:50
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:26
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
17:14
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
13:53
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:27
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
10:42
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
11:40
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:31
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.3
17:38
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
18:16
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
21:53
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
19:59
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
18:32
Total
2
4
6
6
32
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller253.8800.058:57L

Team Stats

BUFVAN
32Shots on Goal25
3.3%Shooting % (5v5)15.0%
.850Save % (5v5).967
0.883PDO (5v5)1.117
31 (52%)Faceoffs Won29 (48%)
1Power Play Chances3
100%PP%0%
100%PK%0%
1PPG0
6Penalty Minutes2
10Hits8
15Blocked Shots21
6Giveaways4
8Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
03:13GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (1), assists: Matt Ellis, Tim Kennedy
08:13GOAL (VAN): Mikael Samuelsson (1), assists: Mason Raymond, Christian Ehrhoff
11:33GOAL (VAN): Henrik Sedin (1), assists: Alexandre Burrows, Daniel Sedin
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
01:49GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Tyler Myers(PP)
05:21GOAL (VAN): Brad Lukowich (1), assists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
@ SJS (Jan 23, 2010)vs NJD (Jan 27, 2010) ›