vs OTT (Feb 3, 2010)@ CBJ (Feb 6, 2010) ›

February 5, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 43 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR1034
BUF1023
Shots on goal CAR 27, BUF 31W M. LegaceL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 3-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .852
CAR M. Legace .903
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
CAR 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
J. Jokinen goal (P3 16:43), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 7%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
T. Connolly
22:30
TOI (F)
T. Myers
22:07
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.852 (23/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-CAR.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won6-615-910-1131-26
Hits7-76-23-816-17
Takeaways3-11-31-05-4
Giveaways6-47-42-315-11
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.984CAR 1.016. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:43J. Jokinen (1) 55% to 7%-48
  2. P3 08:23T. Kostopoulos (1) 88% to 57%-31
  3. P3 00:58D. Stafford (1) 27% to 58%+31
  4. P3 00:34E. Staal (1) 58% to 28%-30

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:09
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
2
1.5
18:14
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
6
1.8
20:05
#44 A. Sekera (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
2.3
18:05
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
0.2
19:49
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
21:33
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
21:47
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
8:23
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:30
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
2:14
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
15:46
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.4
15:01
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
8:00
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.4
17:01
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
6:56
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
19:14
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:57
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
1
0.0
22:07
Total
3
6
9
12
31
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller274.852-0.758:44L

Team Stats

CARBUF
27Shots on Goal31
17.4%Shooting % (5v5)15.8%
.842Save % (5v5).826
1.016PDO (5v5)0.984
26 (46%)Faceoffs Won31 (54%)
6Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes12
17Hits16
11Blocked Shots10
11Giveaways15
4Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
13:07GOAL (CAR): Aaron Ward (1), assists: Zach Boychuk
18:35GOAL (BUF): Andrej Sekera (1), assists: Chris Butler, Jason Pominville
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
00:34GOAL (CAR): Eric Staal (1), assists: Ray Whitney, Jussi Jokinen
00:58GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Thomas Vanek, Andrej Sekera
02:58GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (2), assists: Andrej Sekera, Thomas Vanek
08:23GOAL (CAR): Tom Kostopoulos (1), assists: Sergei Samsonov, Matt Cullen
16:43GOAL (CAR): Jussi Jokinen (1), assists: Eric Staal, Tim Gleason
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
vs OTT (Feb 3, 2010)@ CBJ (Feb 6, 2010) ›