@ PIT (Feb 1, 2010)vs CAR (Feb 5, 2010) ›

February 3, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT0134
BUF0022
Shots on goal OTT 38, BUF 36W B. ElliottL R. Miller
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .919
OTT B. Elliott .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
OTT 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Alfredsson goal (P3 19:00), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 2%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
7
SHOTS
J. Pominville
19:50
TOI (F)
T. Myers
21:43
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.919 (34/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-OTT.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won7-1113-1117-537-27
Hits11-78-58-527-17
Takeaways2-10-20-12-4
Giveaways3-67-55-415-15
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.977OTT 1.023. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:00D. Alfredsson (1) 52% to 2%-50
  2. P3 07:44T. Connolly (1) 19% to 54%+35
  3. P2 13:38J. Spezza (1) 56% to 29%-27
  4. P3 05:59J. Spezza (2) 20% to 5%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:59
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.4
18:55
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+1
2
1
1.3
19:50
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
7
1.2
15:26
#44 A. Sekera (D)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.9
21:07
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
19:12
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
9:33
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
15:56
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
7:21
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
14:55
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
19:15
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
14:25
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
7:33
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
11:37
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:35
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:27
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:59
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.4
21:43
Total
2
4
6
10
36
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller373.9191.259:34L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
38Shots on Goal36
9.7%Shooting % (5v5)7.4%
.926Save % (5v5).903
1.023PDO (5v5)0.977
27 (42%)Faceoffs Won37 (58%)
4Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes10
17Hits27
7Blocked Shots9
15Giveaways15
4Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
13:38GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (1), assists: Ryan Shannon
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
05:59GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (2), assists: Ryan Shannon
07:17GOAL (BUF): Andrej Sekera (1), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
07:44GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
19:00GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (1), assists: Erik Karlsson, Mike Fisher
19:37GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (2), assists: Jason Spezza(EN)
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
@ PIT (Feb 1, 2010)vs CAR (Feb 5, 2010) ›