vs BOS (Feb 9, 2010)vs SJS (Feb 13, 2010) ›

February 11, 2010

RBC Center | Raleigh

BUF 34 CAR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF20103
CAR21014
Shots on goal BUF 32, CAR 35W M. LegaceL R. Miller
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 3-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .886
CAR M. Legace .906
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
CAR 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
S. Samsonov goal (OT 1:47), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
20:03
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:50
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.886 (31/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-CAR.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won13-143-135-110-121-39
Hits5-108-1313-70-026-30
Takeaways5-22-40-20-17-9
Giveaways1-21-34-21-07-7
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.069CAR 0.931. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 1:47
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

OT 1:47
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 01:47S. Samsonov (1) 51% to 0%-51
  2. P3 12:53D. Roy (2) 12% to 52%+40
  3. P2 09:55S. Yelle (1) 53% to 28%-25
  4. P1 19:58R. Whitney (1), power play 72% to 54%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 1:47
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
0
2
+1
2
3
1.7
20:03
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
18:23
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
17:30
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
12:55
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
17:48
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.8
15:21
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
21:07
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
11:13
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
14:30
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:27
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:25
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
14:11
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
19:46
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
8:58
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
19:18
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
22:51
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
16:14
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
25:50
Total
3
5
8
10
32
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller354.8860.161:47O

Team Stats

BUFCAR
32Shots on Goal35
10.7%Shooting % (5v5)3.8%
.962Save % (5v5).893
1.069PDO (5v5)0.931
21 (35%)Faceoffs Won39 (65%)
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG2
10Penalty Minutes6
26Hits30
16Blocked Shots15
7Giveaways7
7Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
02:13GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Clarke MacArthur
14:01GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Steve Montador
16:29GOAL (CAR): Brandon Sutter (1), assists: Sergei Samsonov, Tuomo Ruutu(PP)
19:58GOAL (CAR): Ray Whitney (1), assists: Jussi Jokinen, Joni Pitkanen(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
09:55GOAL (CAR): Stephane Yelle (1), assists: Brandon Sutter
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
12:53GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (2), assists: Thomas Vanek, Chris Butler
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
01:47GOAL (CAR): Sergei Samsonov (1), assists: Brandon Sutter
01:47Period end
01:47Game end
vs BOS (Feb 9, 2010)vs SJS (Feb 13, 2010) ›