@ CAR (Feb 11, 2010)@ PIT (Mar 2, 2010) ›

February 13, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

SJS 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs SJS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS0011
BUF0303
Shots on goal SJS 28, BUF 28W R. MillerL E. Nabokov
Summary

SJS had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .964
SJS E. Nabokov .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
SJS 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad goal (P2 5:25), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 71%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
M. Grier
19:20
TOI (F)
T. Myers
21:43
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSJS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-SJS.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won6-77-1112-825-26
Hits7-89-35-421-15
Takeaways4-03-14-111-2
Giveaways8-72-16-216-10
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.067SJS 0.933. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFSJS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSJS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 05:25P. Gaustad (1) 48% to 71%+23
  2. P2 12:31T. Vanek (1) 74% to 90%+16
  3. P2 17:23J. Pominville (1) 92% to 98%+6
  4. P2 06:51High sticking on Matt Ellis, 2 min 67% to 63%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:42
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
18:43
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
19:20
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+2
2
5
1.0
15:40
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
14:04
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.2
19:16
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
12:17
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
19:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
20:43
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
18:49
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
18:20
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
7:33
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:04
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
6:36
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
8:07
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.3
17:30
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
18:06
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:59
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
21:43
Total
3
6
9
10
28
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller281.9642.060:00W

Team Stats

SJSBUF
28Shots on Goal28
5.3%Shooting % (5v5)12.0%
.880Save % (5v5).947
0.933PDO (5v5)1.067
26 (51%)Faceoffs Won25 (49%)
4Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes10
15Hits21
9Blocked Shots14
10Giveaways16
2Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
05:25GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Clarke MacArthur
12:31GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Mike Grier
17:23GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
05:28GOAL (SJS): Kent Huskins (1), unassisted
@ CAR (Feb 11, 2010)@ PIT (Mar 2, 2010) ›