@ BOS (Apr 8, 2010)@ NJD (Apr 11, 2010) ›

April 10, 2010

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 52 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2215
OTT0112
Shots on goal BUF 28, OTT 30W R. MillerL P. Leclaire
Summary

OTT had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .933
OTT P. Leclaire .821
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
OTT 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P1 9:14), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 71%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
4 (4G)
POINTS
D. Roy
7
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:23
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
25:32
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.933 (28/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-OTT.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won8-108-129-825-30
Hits3-67-12-612-13
Takeaways3-42-43-48-12
Giveaways2-63-33-28-11
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.067OTT 0.933. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:14T. Vanek (1) 52% to 71%+19
  2. P2 08:57T. Vanek (3), power play 75% to 90%+15
  3. P2 07:43C. Neil (1) 90% to 75%-15
  4. P1 12:38T. Vanek (2) 72% to 86%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 14:53
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1T. VanekBUF | LW4G 0A 4P
2D. RoyBUF | C1G 2A 3P
3D. AlfredssonOTT | RW0G 0A 0P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
4
0
4
+2
4
6
3.5
16:06
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
2
3
+1
0
7
2.9
21:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
12:34
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
11:50
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.9
15:33
#63 T. Ennis (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:51
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
0.9
10:30
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.8
21:35
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
10:37
#17 R. Torres (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
16:36
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:14
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
19:23
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
0.0
15:19
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
19:33
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
23:39
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
25:32
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
20:26
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.2
13:19
Total
5
8
13
16
28
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller302.9331.360:00W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
28Shots on Goal30
16.7%Shooting % (5v5)10.0%
.900Save % (5v5).833
1.067PDO (5v5)0.933
25 (45%)Faceoffs Won30 (55%)
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
16Penalty Minutes14
12Hits13
12Blocked Shots10
8Giveaways11
8Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
09:14GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Adam Mair, Matt Ellis
12:38GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (2), assists: Derek Roy, Andrej Sekera
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
07:43GOAL (OTT): Chris Neil (1), assists: Peter Regin, Chris Phillips
08:57GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (3), unassisted(PP)
13:12GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (4), assists: Derek Roy, Tyler Ennis(PP)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
10:16GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Nathan Gerbe, Tyler Myers
13:20GOAL (OTT): Shean Donovan (1), assists: Zack Smith, Chris Phillips
20:00Period end
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