@ WIN (Jan 10, 1996)@ EDM (Jan 13, 1996) ›

January 12, 1996

Canadian Airlines Saddledome | Calgary

BUF 13 CGY

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
CGY1203
Shots on goal BUF 26, CGY 27W R. TabaracciL D. Hasek
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .889
CGY R. Tabaracci .962
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
CGY 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
G. Roberts goal (P2 3:02), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 27%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. May
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 03:02G. Roberts (3) 47% to 27%-20
  2. P1 12:14G. Roberts (2) 67% to 48%-19
  3. P1 01:52B. May (9) 49% to 65%+16
  4. P2 11:39G. Roberts (4) 25% to 10%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 B. May (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.1
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
-2
4
2
-0.1
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
-1
7
1
-0.2
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
7
0.5
Total
1
2
3
15
26
3.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek273.8890.259:00L

Team Stats

BUFCGY
26Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%20%
80%PK%75%
1PPG1
15Penalty Minutes13

Full Game Log

1ST
01:52GOAL (BUF): Brad May (9), assists: Donald Audette, Pat LaFontaine
12:14GOAL (CGY): Gary Roberts (2), unassisted
2ND
03:02GOAL (CGY): Gary Roberts (3), assists: Corey Millen, Trent Yawney
11:39GOAL (CGY): Gary Roberts (4), assists: Theo Fleury
@ WIN (Jan 10, 1996)@ EDM (Jan 13, 1996) ›