‹ vs HFD (Oct 26, 1996)@ DAL (Oct 30, 1996) ›

October 27, 1996

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 4 – 6 NYR

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
BUF	0	2	2	4
NYR	3	3	0	6

Shots on goal BUF 33, NYR 40W G. HealyL A. Trefilov

Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-4.

IN NET: Buffalo A. Trefilov .850
NYR G. Healy .879
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 0 of 6
NYR 3 of 4
TURNING POINT: B. Leetch goal (P1 11:51), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 29%
WIN DNA: 3 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

M. Barnaby

2 (2A)

POINTS

P. LaFontaine

SHOTS

A. Trefilov

.850 (34/40)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P1 11:51B. Leetch (2) 46% to 29%-17
P2 13:26W. Gretzky (5) 24% to 9%-15
P2 05:41M. Grosek (2) 11% to 26%+15
P1 13:25L. Robitaille (3) 29% to 14%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no

Yes

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)	0	2	2	+1	0	0	1.4
#12 R. Burridge (LW)	1	0	1	0	0	2	0.9
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)	0	1	1	0	0	5	1.1
#17 J. Dawe (RW)	0	1	1	0	2	1	0.6
#18 M. Grosek (LW)	1	0	1	+2	0	5	1.1
#19 B. Holzinger (C)	1	0	1	-1	0	2	0.9
#26 D. Plante (C)	1	0	1	+2	0	2	0.9
#3 G. Galley (D)	0	1	1	-1	0	1	0.6
#8 D. Shannon (D)	0	1	1	+2	0	4	0.9
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)	0	1	1	+1	0	1	0.6
#15 D. Ward (LW)	0	0	0	0	2	1	-0.1
#27 M. Peca (C)	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)	0	0	0	0	6	0	-0.4
#37 C. Brown (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#93 A. Semenov (C)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)	0	0	0	+1	2	1	-0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)	0	0	0	-1	2	2	0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
Total	4	7	11		14	33	8.9

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#30 A. Trefilov	40	6	–	.850	–	-1.1	59:22	L

Team Stats

BUFNYR

33Shots on Goal40

6Power Play Chances4

0%PP%75%

25%PK%100%

0PPG3

14Penalty Minutes20

Full Game Log

1ST

11:51GOAL (NYR): Brian Leetch (2), assists: Luc Robitaille, Wayne Gretzky

13:25GOAL (NYR): Luc Robitaille (3), assists: Wayne Gretzky, Niklas Sundstrom

16:56GOAL (NYR): Mark Messier (4), assists: Alex Kovalev, Adam Graves

2ND

01:33GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (5), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Garry Galley

05:41GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (2), assists: Matthew Barnaby

13:26GOAL (NYR): Wayne Gretzky (5), assists: Niklas Sundstrom, Alexander Karpovtsev

15:15GOAL (NYR): Patrick Flatley (2), assists: Daniel Goneau, Sergei Nemchinov

19:42GOAL (NYR): Niklas Sundstrom (5), assists: Bruce Driver, Wayne Gretzky

3RD

14:12GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (4), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Darryl Shannon

15:52GOAL (BUF): Randy Burridge (1), assists: Jason Dawe, Alexei Zhitnik

‹ vs HFD (Oct 26, 1996)@ DAL (Oct 30, 1996) ›