vs MTL (Oct 24, 1996)@ NYR (Oct 27, 1996) ›

October 26, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

HFD 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs HFD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
HFD2103
BUF3306
Shots on goal HFD 29, BUF 27W D. HasekL S. Burke
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .897
HFD S. Burke .778
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 3
HFD 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Smehlik goal (P1 15:33), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 70%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Smehlik
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.897 (26/29)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFHFD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:33R. Smehlik (1) 50% to 70%+20
  2. P1 14:56P. LaFontaine (2) 30% to 50%+20
  3. P1 07:36R. Kron (1) 68% to 49%-19
  4. P1 10:11K. Dineen (4) 48% to 31%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
7
2.4
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
2
1
3
+1
0
3
2.3
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
3
3
+2
0
1
2.2
#93 A. Semenov (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.5
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
+2
2
2
0.7
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#32 R. Ray (RW)
1
0
1
+1
7
1
0.5
#8 D. Shannon (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
6
11
17
13
27
12.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek293.8970.460:00W

Team Stats

HFDBUF
29Shots on Goal27
3Power Play Chances3
67%PP%67%
33%PK%33%
2PPG2
13Penalty Minutes13

Full Game Log

1ST
05:11GOAL (BUF): Anatoli Semenov (1), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Pat LaFontaine
07:36GOAL (HFD): Robert Kron (1), assists: Andrei Nikolishin, Keith Primeau
10:11GOAL (HFD): Kevin Dineen (4), assists: Andrew Cassels, Glen Wesley
14:56GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (2), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Richard Smehlik
15:33GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (1), assists: Michael Peca, Randy Burridge
2ND
01:54GOAL (BUF): Darryl Shannon (1), assists: Jason Dawe
03:11GOAL (HFD): Andrei Nikolishin (2), assists: Keith Primeau, Adam Burt
07:50GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (2), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Pat LaFontaine
15:57GOAL (BUF): Rob Ray (1), assists: Anatoli Semenov, Dixon Ward
vs MTL (Oct 24, 1996)@ NYR (Oct 27, 1996) ›