‹ @ PIT (Nov 12, 1996)@ TOR (Nov 19, 1996) ›

November 14, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

COL 4 – 5 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
COL	1	2	1	4
BUF	2	1	2	5

Shots on goal COL 34, BUF 26W D. HasekL C. Billington

Summary

COL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-4.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Hasek .882
COL C. Billington .808
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 1 of 3
COL 2 of 5
TURNING POINT: J. Dawe goal (P3 5:28), Sabres win chance rises from 45% to 78%
WIN DNA: 4 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

J. Dawe

2 (2G)

POINTS

B. Holzinger

SHOTS

D. Hasek

.882 (30/34)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P3 05:28J. Dawe (5) 45% to 78%+33
P2 16:24E. Lacroix (7) 72% to 44%-28
P1 18:34J. Dawe (4) 42% to 64%+22
P1 10:11V. Kamensky (7) 60% to 42%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no

Yes

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no

Yes

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#17 J. Dawe (RW)	2	0	2	+3	0	4	1.8
#27 M. Peca (C)	1	1	2	+2	0	4	1.8
#4 M. Wilson (D)	1	1	2	+2	0	1	1.4
#12 R. Burridge (LW)	0	1	1	+3	0	0	0.7
#15 D. Ward (LW)	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.8
#19 B. Holzinger (C)	1	0	1	-1	0	8	1.4
#8 D. Shannon (D)	0	1	1	+3	2	1	0.6
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)	0	1	1	+2	0	0	0.6
#74 J. McKee (D)	0	1	1	-2	2	1	0.6
#18 M. Grosek (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)	0	0	0	0	2	1	-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.2
#37 C. Brown (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#93 A. Semenov (C)	0	0	0	0	2	1	-0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)	0	0	0	-1	7	1	-0.2
#42 R. Smehlik (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
Total	5	7	12		15	26	9.4

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#39 D. Hasek	34	4	–	.882	–	0.0	60:00	W

Team Stats

COLBUF

34Shots on Goal26

5Power Play Chances3

40%PP%33%

67%PK%60%

2PPG1

11Penalty Minutes15

Full Game Log

1ST

03:04GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (4), assists: Jay McKee

10:11GOAL (COL): Valeri Kamensky (7), assists: Sandis Ozolinsh, Joe Sakic

18:34GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (4), assists: Darryl Shannon

2ND

08:03GOAL (BUF): Mike Wilson (1), assists: Michael Peca

12:43GOAL (COL): Sandis Ozolinsh (5), assists: Joe Sakic, Scott Young

16:24GOAL (COL): Eric Lacroix (7), assists: Jon Klemm

3RD

05:28GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (5), assists: Randy Burridge, Mike Wilson

09:25GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (6), assists: Dixon Ward, Alexei Zhitnik

11:51GOAL (COL): Rene Corbet (5), assists: Scott Young, Sandis Ozolinsh

‹ @ PIT (Nov 12, 1996)@ TOR (Nov 19, 1996) ›