‹ @ FLA (Nov 26, 1996)vs OTT (Nov 29, 1996) ›

November 27, 1996

Ice Palace | Tampa

BUF 3 – 0 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0033
TBL0000
Shots on goal BUF 20, TBL 32W D. HasekL R. Tabaracci
Summary

TBL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek 1.000
TBL R. Tabaracci .895
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
TBL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
B. Holzinger goal (P3 2:57), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 78%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Burridge
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Plante
3
SHOTS
D. Hasek
1.000 (32/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 02:57B. Holzinger (8) 48% to 78%+30
  2. P3 09:36C. Brown (4) 84% to 97%+13
  3. P2 10:04Fighting on Igor Ulanov, 5 min 33% to 43%+10
  4. P2 10:04Fighting on Michael Peca, 5 min 43% to 33%-10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
1
1
2
+2
2
2
1.5
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
10
2
0.2
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
17
0
-0.4
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#38 B. Moore (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.3
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
Total
3
5
8
51
20
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek320–1.000–3.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
20Shots on Goal32
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
51Penalty Minutes47

Full Game Log

3RD
02:57GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (8), assists: Donald Audette, Bob Boughner
09:36GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (4), assists: Randy Burridge, Mike Wilson
19:07GOAL (BUF): Randy Burridge (5), assists: Derek Plante
‹ @ FLA (Nov 26, 1996)vs OTT (Nov 29, 1996) ›