‹ @ TBL (Nov 27, 1996)@ NYI (Nov 30, 1996) ›

November 29, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

OTT 0 – 3 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT0000
BUF2013
Shots on goal OTT 31, BUF 25W D. HasekL D. Rhodes
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek 1.000
OTT D. Rhodes .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Wilson goal (P1 6:05), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 72%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Plante
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Dawe
6
SHOTS
D. Hasek
1.000 (31/31)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:05M. Wilson (2) 54% to 72%+18
  2. P1 11:35D. Plante (10) 73% to 86%+13
  3. P1 00:56Delaying game on Denny Lambert, 2 min 54% to 57%+3
  4. P1 07:05Hooking on Donald Audette, 2 min 72% to 69%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#26 D. Plante (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
3
1.7
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
6
0.9
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#4 M. Wilson (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#38 B. Moore (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#93 A. Semenov (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
Total
3
5
8
6
25
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek310–1.000–3.159:56W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
31Shots on Goal25
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
06:05GOAL (BUF): Mike Wilson (2), assists: Randy Burridge, Jason Dawe
11:35GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (10), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Michal Grosek
3RD
19:43GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (11), assists: Brian Holzinger
‹ @ TBL (Nov 27, 1996)@ NYI (Nov 30, 1996) ›