‹ @ NJD (Dec 23, 1996)@ PIT (Dec 28, 1996) ›

December 26, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

HFD 1 – 5 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
HFD	0	1	0	1
BUF	3	2	0	5

Shots on goal HFD 27, BUF 21W D. HasekL J. Muzzatti

Summary

HFD had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Hasek .963
HFD J. Muzzatti .400
HFD J. Giguere .875
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 0 of 5
HFD 0 of 4
TURNING POINT: D. Ward goal (P1 0:54), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 73%
WIN DNA: 3 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

D. Ward

2 (1G-1A)

POINTS

M. Peca

SHOTS

D. Hasek

.963 (26/27)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P1 00:54D. Ward (6) 56% to 73%+17
P1 08:20A. Semenov (2) 73% to 86%+13
P1 15:24M. Peca (7) 88% to 95%+7
P2 05:02D. Plante (17) 97% to 99%+2

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no

Yes

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)	1	1	2	+2	0	1	1.5
#18 M. Grosek (LW)	0	2	2	+2	0	0	1.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)	1	1	2	+2	0	1	1.4
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)	0	2	2	+1	0	2	1.5
#12 R. Burridge (LW)	0	1	1	+1	0	3	0.9
#17 J. Dawe (RW)	0	1	1	+1	0	1	0.6
#19 B. Holzinger (C)	0	1	1	+2	2	0	0.5
#26 D. Plante (C)	1	0	1	0	0	2	0.9
#27 M. Peca (C)	1	0	1	+1	2	4	0.9
#93 A. Semenov (C)	1	0	1	+1	0	1	0.8
#6 R. Boughner (D)	0	1	1	+1	0	0	0.6
#32 R. Ray (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#38 B. Moore (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#3 G. Galley (D)	0	0	0	+1	0	0	0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)	0	0	0	+2	0	0	0.0
#8 D. Shannon (D)	0	0	0	+2	0	0	0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)	0	0	0	+1	2	2	0.0
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.0
Total	5	10	15		8	21	11.0

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#39 D. Hasek	27	1	–	.963	–	1.9	60:00	W

Team Stats

HFDBUF

27Shots on Goal21

4Power Play Chances5

0%PP%0%

100%PK%100%

0PPG0

10Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST

00:54GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (6), assists: Brian Holzinger, Donald Audette

08:20GOAL (BUF): Anatoli Semenov (2), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Michal Grosek

15:24GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (7), assists: Randy Burridge, Jason Dawe

2ND

05:02GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (17), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Michal Grosek

05:44GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (12), assists: Dixon Ward, Bob Boughner

15:58GOAL (HFD): Paul Ranheim (6), assists: Steve Martins, Curtis Leschyshyn

‹ @ NJD (Dec 23, 1996)@ PIT (Dec 28, 1996) ›