@ PIT (Dec 28, 1996)vs STL (Jan 3, 1997) ›

December 31, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

NJD 56 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD1045
BUF3216
Shots on goal NJD 36, BUF 24W D. HasekL M. Dunham
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-5.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .861
NJD M. Dunham .833
NJD M. Brodeur .500
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
NJD 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
R. Ray goal (P1 14:27), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 72%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Zhitnik
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Plante
4
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.861 (31/36)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 14:27R. Ray (4) 53% to 72%+19
  2. P1 11:09B. Guerin (12) 72% to 53%-19
  3. P1 04:08B. Holzinger (12) 53% to 71%+18
  4. P1 18:25M. Peca (8) 71% to 86%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
2
2
-1
0
0
1.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
2
2
-1
0
1
1.5
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
1
1
2
-1
0
2
1.6
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
-1
4
2
0.4
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#26 D. Plante (C)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#32 R. Ray (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
+1
5
2
0.7
#38 B. Moore (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
1
1
+1
10
1
0.5
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
-0.1
Total
6
11
17
34
24
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek365.861-0.660:00W

Team Stats

NJDBUF
36Shots on Goal24
6Power Play Chances4
17%PP%50%
50%PK%83%
1PPG2
30Penalty Minutes34

Full Game Log

1ST
04:08GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (12), assists: Donald Audette, Dixon Ward
11:09GOAL (NJD): Bill Guerin (12), assists: Bobby Holik, Shawn Chambers
14:27GOAL (BUF): Rob Ray (4), assists: Wayne Primeau, Barrie Moore
18:25GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (8), assists: Alexei Zhitnik
2ND
01:17GOAL (BUF): Alexei Zhitnik (3), assists: Donald Audette, Dixon Ward
14:56GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (18), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Mike Wilson
3RD
05:02GOAL (NJD): Brian Rolston (13), assists: John MacLean, Jay Pandolfo
10:21GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (5), assists: Darryl Shannon, Jason Dawe
11:35GOAL (NJD): Bill Guerin (13), assists: Scott Niedermayer, Bobby Holik
17:55GOAL (NJD): Bill Guerin (14), assists: Bobby Holik, Dave Andreychuk
18:21GOAL (NJD): Dave Andreychuk (12), assists: Bobby Holik, Bill Guerin
@ PIT (Dec 28, 1996)vs STL (Jan 3, 1997) ›