vs STL (Jan 3, 1997)@ SJS (Jan 7, 1997) ›

January 5, 1997

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

PHX 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHX all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHX0101
BUF1225
Shots on goal PHX 31, BUF 33W D. HasekL N. Khabibulin
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .968
PHX N. Khabibulin .848
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
PHX 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Dawe goal (P1 5:11), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 76%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Plante
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Plante
7
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.968 (30/31)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHX
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:11J. Dawe (9) 59% to 76%+17
  2. P2 14:15C. Ronning (7) 93% to 80%-13
  3. P2 05:36D. Plante (19) 78% to 91%+13
  4. P2 16:58M. Grosek (10) 81% to 94%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#26 D. Plante (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
7
2.7
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
2
2
+2
7
2
1.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
2
2
+2
4
2
1.1
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
0
1
+2
4
1
0.5
#38 B. Moore (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
1
0
1
+2
2
4
0.9
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.5
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
7
2
-0.1
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
5
9
14
30
33
10.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek311.9682.360:00W

Team Stats

PHXBUF
31Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%25%
75%PK%80%
1PPG1
61Penalty Minutes30

Full Game Log

1ST
05:11GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (9), assists: Garry Galley
2ND
05:36GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (19), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Garry Galley
14:15GOAL (PHX): Cliff Ronning (7), assists: Dave Manson, Keith Tkachuk
16:58GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (10), assists: Derek Plante, Matthew Barnaby
3RD
00:59GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (20), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Dixon Ward
03:10GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (6), assists: Barrie Moore, Randy Burridge
vs STL (Jan 3, 1997)@ SJS (Jan 7, 1997) ›