@ PHX (Jan 12, 1997)vs CHI (Jan 20, 1997) ›

January 15, 1997

Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum | Uniondale

BUF 21 NYI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
NYI0101
Shots on goal BUF 24, NYI 26W S. ShieldsL E. Fichaud
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo S. Shields .962
NYI E. Fichaud .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
NYI 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Barnaby goal (P3 17:00), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 95%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Plante
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Plante
5
SHOTS
S. Shields
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:00M. Barnaby (10) 51% to 95%+44
  2. P2 14:14B. Smolinski (13) 46% to 22%-24
  3. P2 17:44D. Audette (15) 28% to 51%+23
  4. P2 11:40Checking from behind on Alexei Zhitnik, 5 min 51% to 40%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
5
1.6
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
+1
12
2
0.6
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#38 B. Moore (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
17
0
-0.4
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.1
Total
2
4
6
39
24
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 S. Shields261.9621.860:00W

Team Stats

BUFNYI
24Shots on Goal26
3Power Play Chances6
33%PP%17%
83%PK%67%
1PPG1
39Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

2ND
14:14GOAL (NYI): Bryan Smolinski (13), assists: Bryan Berard, Derek King
17:44GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (15), assists: Derek Plante, Brian Holzinger
3RD
17:00GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (10), assists: Michal Grosek, Derek Plante
@ PHX (Jan 12, 1997)vs CHI (Jan 20, 1997) ›