‹ @ ANA (Jan 10, 1997)@ NYI (Jan 15, 1997) ›

January 12, 1997

America West Arena | Phoenix

BUF 3 – 2 PHX

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs PHX all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF10113
PHX01102
Shots on goal BUF 30, PHX 34W D. HasekL N. Khabibulin
Summary

PHX had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .941
PHX N. Khabibulin .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
PHX 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Dawe goal (OT 0:10), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 100%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dawe
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.941 (32/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

OT 0:10
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHX
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:10J. Dawe (11) 51% to 100%+49
  2. P3 05:12M. Peca (9) 48% to 80%+32
  3. P3 05:54I. Korolev (1) 82% to 51%-31
  4. P2 12:50K. Tkachuk (27) 74% to 52%-22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
4
2
0.6
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
4
1.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
6
0.3
Total
3
3
6
15
30
5.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek342–.941–1.760:10W

Team Stats

BUFPHX
30Shots on Goal34
6Power Play Chances5
0%PP%40%
60%PK%100%
0PPG2
15Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST
05:19GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (13), assists: Donald Audette, Brad May
2ND
12:50GOAL (PHX): Keith Tkachuk (27), assists: Mike Gartner, Jeremy Roenick
3RD
05:12GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (9), assists: Dixon Ward
05:54GOAL (PHX): Igor Korolev (1), assists: Jeremy Roenick, Dave Manson
OT
00:10GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (11), unassisted
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