vs CHI (Nov 14, 1998)@ TOR (Nov 21, 1998) ›

November 20, 1998

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

TOR 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0101
BUF1214
Shots on goal TOR 33, BUF 26W D. HasekL F. Potvin
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .970
TOR F. Potvin .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
TOR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P1 19:11), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 77%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
B. Holzinger
18:31
TOI (F)
J. McKee
25:05
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 19 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:11C. Brown (4) 56% to 77%+21
  2. P2 04:27M. Barnaby (2) 78% to 91%+13
  3. P2 02:47F. Modin (4) 91% to 78%-13
  4. P2 02:23M. Grosek (6) 78% to 91%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.7
14:36
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.5
18:31
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
16:28
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
4
1.3
17:45
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
12
3
0.7
12:54
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
14:14
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
1.0
14:21
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
2
0.8
15:26
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
9:03
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:41
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:02
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
5:56
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
16:14
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:29
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:41
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
18:26
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
23:08
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
25:05
Total
4
8
12
20
26
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek331.9702.560:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
33Shots on Goal26
5Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes20
13Hits27
9Blocked Shots11
25Giveaways30
6Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
19:11GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (4), assists: Vaclav Varada, Dixon Ward
2ND
02:23GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (6), assists: Curtis Brown, Jason Woolley
02:47GOAL (TOR): Freddy Modin (4), assists: Tomas Kaberle, Sergei Berezin
04:27GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (2), assists: Brian Holzinger, James Patrick
3RD
10:48GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (5), assists: Brian Holzinger, Jason Woolley
vs CHI (Nov 14, 1998)@ TOR (Nov 21, 1998) ›