vs STL (Jan 13, 1999)@ OTT (Jan 16, 1999) ›

January 15, 1999

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

BOS 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS0011
BUF0112
Shots on goal BOS 34, BUF 24W D. HasekL B. Dafoe
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .971
BOS B. Dafoe .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
B. Holzinger goal (P2 2:38), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 77%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. Holzinger
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Peca
19:46
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:30
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.971 (33/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:38B. Holzinger (13) 56% to 77%+21
  2. P3 04:59C. Brown (11) 85% to 97%+12
  3. P3 11:13D. Khristich (18) 99% to 89%-10
  4. P1 19:18Interference on Michal Grosek, 2 min 56% to 52%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.1
18:59
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:34
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
1.0
15:50
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
16:26
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
20:56
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
2
4
0.9
23:30
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:15
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
12:28
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:40
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:44
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
17:47
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
19:46
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:41
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
15:30
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
14:51
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
15:48
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:25
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
22:50
Total
2
4
6
6
24
6.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek341.9712.660:00W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
34Shots on Goal24
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6
19Hits28
11Blocked Shots16
22Giveaways23
5Takeaways7

Full Game Log

2ND
02:38GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (13), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Richard Smehlik
3RD
04:59GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (11), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Miroslav Satan
11:13GOAL (BOS): Dmitri Khristich (18), assists: Jason Allison, Sergei Samsonov
vs STL (Jan 13, 1999)@ OTT (Jan 16, 1999) ›