vs CAR (Feb 15, 1999)vs SJS (Feb 19, 1999) ›

February 17, 1999

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

TOR 32 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR11013
BUF01102
Shots on goal TOR 29, BUF 27W G. HealyL D. Hasek
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .897
TOR G. Healy .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
TOR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Sundin goal (OT 4:04), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 0%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
4
SHOTS
M. Peca
26:33
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
29:32
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.897 (26/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:04
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

OT 4:04
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:04M. Sundin (19) 51% to 0%-51
  2. P3 10:23M. Satan (25) 15% to 54%+39
  3. P1 04:14T. Domi (5) 58% to 38%-20
  4. P2 03:54D. Ward (16) 15% to 33%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.9
21:12
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
18:13
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.6
26:33
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
23:39
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
20:13
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
29:32
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
10
2
0.2
17:14
#17 R. Cunneyworth (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
5:28
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
18:16
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
11:56
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:37
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:28
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
3:20
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.2
19:17
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
12:26
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:54
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
22:01
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
25:02
Total
2
4
6
23
27
6.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek293.8970.464:01L

Team Stats

TORBUF
29Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
11Penalty Minutes23
22Hits34
17Blocked Shots17
32Giveaways24
4Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
04:14GOAL (TOR): Tie Domi (5), assists: Steve Thomas, Mats Sundin
2ND
02:21GOAL (TOR): Steve Sullivan (12), assists: Mats Sundin, Steve Thomas
03:54GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (16), assists: Michael Peca, Alexei Zhitnik
3RD
10:23GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (25), assists: Michal Grosek, Mike Wilson
OT
04:04GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (19), assists: Steve Thomas
vs CAR (Feb 15, 1999)vs SJS (Feb 19, 1999) ›