vs TOR (Feb 17, 1999)vs DET (Feb 21, 1999) ›

February 19, 1999

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

SJS 24 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs SJS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
SJS0112
BUF1124
Shots on goal SJS 32, BUF 28W D. RolosonL S. Shields
Summary

SJS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .938
SJS S. Shields .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
SJS 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Grosek goal (P3 11:22), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 90%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:20
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:48
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSJS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFSJS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSJS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:22M. Grosek (13) 54% to 90%+36
  2. P3 05:56S. Matteau (7) 86% to 55%-31
  3. P2 08:28M. Satan (26) 57% to 80%+23
  4. P2 06:42O. Nolan (12) 78% to 57%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
2
3
+3
0
2
2.0
21:32
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
1
2
+3
0
3
1.7
19:19
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+3
0
2
1.7
23:20
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
2
2
-1
0
0
1.2
20:59
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
14:07
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.2
10:31
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
+4
0
1
0.9
21:35
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:31
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:01
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
8:33
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
7:11
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.3
14:47
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
20:37
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:55
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-1
19
2
-0.4
13:13
#34 J. Grand-Pierre (D)
0
0
0
+4
2
1
0.0
13:10
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:37
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
26:48
Total
4
8
12
27
28
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson322.9381.560:00W

Team Stats

SJSBUF
32Shots on Goal28
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
19Penalty Minutes27
11Hits18
7Blocked Shots14
20Giveaways30
6Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
02:01GOAL (BUF): Geoff Sanderson (10), assists: Brian Holzinger, James Patrick
2ND
06:42GOAL (SJS): Owen Nolan (12), assists: Jeff Friesen, Bill Houlder
08:28GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (26), assists: Jason Woolley, Curtis Brown
3RD
05:56GOAL (SJS): Stephane Matteau (7), assists: Patrick Marleau, Alexander Korolyuk
11:22GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (13), assists: Miroslav Satan, Curtis Brown
16:59GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (14), assists: Michal Grosek, James Patrick
vs TOR (Feb 17, 1999)vs DET (Feb 21, 1999) ›