vs VAN (Oct 17, 2008)vs BOS (Oct 21, 2008) ›

October 18, 2008

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 23 ATL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF011002
ATL200013
Shots on goal BUF 30, ATL 37W K. LehtonenL P. Lalime
Summary

ATL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .946
ATL K. Lehtonen .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
ATL 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P3 16:52), Sabres win chance rises from 6% to 50%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
7
SHOTS
D. Roy
26:36
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
26:43
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.946 (35/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 8 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:46
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:52J. Pominville (2) 6% to 50%+44
  2. P1 01:35I. Kovalchuk (2) 51% to 33%-18
  3. P2 17:00T. Vanek (7) 10% to 26%+16
  4. P1 17:12B. Little (4) 30% to 15%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.7
21:32
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
5
0.9
14:50
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
4
7
1.2
24:14
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
26:36
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:40
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
11:19
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.2
3:42
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:46
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
18:08
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:51
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
3:45
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
20:40
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
26:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.1
15:11
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
23:58
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
26:43
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
16:43
Total
2
2
4
19
30
5.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime372.9462.065:00O

Team Stats

BUFATL
30Shots on Goal37
6Power Play Chances6
17%PP%0%
100%PK%83%
1PPG0
19Penalty Minutes19
10Hits10
17Blocked Shots14
4Giveaways11
14Takeaways23

Full Game Log

1ST
01:35GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (2), assists: Todd White
17:12GOAL (ATL): Bryan Little (4), assists: Todd White
2ND
17:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (7), assists: Jason Pominville, Ales Kotalik
3RD
16:52GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (2), unassisted
SO
00:00GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk, assists: Patrick Lalime(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford, assists: Kari Lehtonen(SO)
00:00GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov, assists: Patrick Lalime(SO)
vs VAN (Oct 17, 2008)vs BOS (Oct 21, 2008) ›