@ ATL (Oct 18, 2008)@ MIN (Oct 23, 2008) ›

October 21, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 23 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BOS110002
BUF011013
Shots on goal BOS 32, BUF 30W R. MillerL M. Fernandez
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .938
BOS M. Fernandez .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
BOS 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Stafford goal (P3 5:48), Sabres win chance rises from 20% to 54%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
24:52
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
25:59
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 30 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:31
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:48D. Stafford (1) 20% to 54%+34
  2. P1 10:57D. Wideman (1) 56% to 36%-20
  3. P2 11:48P. Kessel (6) 29% to 12%-17
  4. P2 13:33C. MacArthur (3) 12% to 28%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.2
24:52
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
5
1.1
17:36
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
17:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.7
15:01
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
25:11
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
20:35
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
15:45
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:30
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
12:42
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:32
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
21:34
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:58
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
6:10
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
5:06
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
19:44
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:09
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
20:51
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
25:59
Total
2
4
6
12
30
6.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller322.9381.564:44W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
32Shots on Goal30
6Power Play Chances4
17%PP%25%
75%PK%83%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes12
17Hits20
14Blocked Shots12
15Giveaways13
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
10:57GOAL (BOS): Dennis Wideman (1), unassisted
2ND
11:48GOAL (BOS): Phil Kessel (6), assists: Milan Lucic, Patrice Bergeron
13:33GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (3), assists: Craig Rivet, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
05:48GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Derek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford, assists: Manny Fernandez(SO)
00:00GOAL (BOS): David Krejci, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, assists: Manny Fernandez(SO)
@ ATL (Oct 18, 2008)@ MIN (Oct 23, 2008) ›