vs BOS (Oct 21, 2008)@ COL (Oct 25, 2008) ›

October 23, 2008

Xcel Energy Center | St. Paul

BUF 43 MIN

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF10214
MIN02103
Shots on goal BUF 24, MIN 33W R. MillerL N. Backstrom
Summary

MIN had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .909
MIN N. Backstrom .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
MIN 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (OT 0:44), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 100%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
3
SHOTS
D. Roy
23:41
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
24:55
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 24 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 0:44
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 0:44
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:44D. Roy (1) 50% to 100%+50
  2. P3 16:46T. Vanek (8) 6% to 49%+43
  3. P2 14:50S. Veilleux (1) 49% to 23%-26
  4. P2 09:57B. Pouliot (2) 73% to 49%-24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
23:41
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.4
16:13
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
1
2
+3
0
1
1.4
18:29
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
16:19
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
16:30
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.6
19:19
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
21:53
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
14:24
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
24:49
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:50
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:46
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:28
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
5:06
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
5:10
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
16:32
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
4:44
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
24:55
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:20
Total
4
8
12
6
24
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller333.9090.860:43W

Team Stats

BUFMIN
24Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
6Penalty Minutes4
13Hits26
11Blocked Shots8
2Giveaways6
10Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
14:43GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (2), assists: Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek
2ND
09:57GOAL (MIN): Benoit Pouliot (2), assists: Derek Boogaard, Craig Weller
14:50GOAL (MIN): Stephane Veilleux (1), assists: Eric Belanger, Pierre-Marc Bouchard
3RD
00:29GOAL (MIN): Brent Burns (1), unassisted
16:00GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (2), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Maxim Afinogenov
16:46GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (8), assists: Andrej Sekera, Drew Stafford
OT
00:44GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Toni Lydman
vs BOS (Oct 21, 2008)@ COL (Oct 25, 2008) ›