@ MIN (Oct 23, 2008)vs OTT (Oct 27, 2008) ›

October 25, 2008

Pepsi Center | Denver

BUF 12 COL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs COL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF010001
COL001012
Shots on goal BUF 30, COL 29W P. BudajL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .966
COL P. Budaj .967
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
COL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Leopold goal (P3 13:36), Sabres win chance drops from 90% to 50%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Paille
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
25:45
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
30:44
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.966 (28/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCOL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:01
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCOL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCOL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:36J. Leopold (2) 90% to 50%-40
  2. P2 09:18D. Paille (1) 49% to 74%+25
  3. P3 16:26Slashing on John-Michael Liles, 2 min 50% to 57%+7
  4. P3 00:45Holding on Andrej Sekera, 2 min 79% to 74%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
18:02
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
17:36
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
26:37
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
25:45
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
17:43
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:08
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:43
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
21:17
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
20:30
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:21
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
4:50
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:22
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
4:26
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
28:22
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
6:19
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.4
22:17
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:58
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
30:44
Total
1
2
3
6
30
4.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller291.9662.165:00O

Team Stats

BUFCOL
30Shots on Goal29
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6
15Hits31
13Blocked Shots16
8Giveaways21
17Takeaways24

Full Game Log

2ND
09:18GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (1), assists: Toni Lydman, Clarke MacArthur
3RD
13:36GOAL (COL): Jordan Leopold (2), assists: Milan Hejduk, Ryan Smyth
SO
00:00GOAL (COL): Milan Hejduk, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Peter Budaj(SO)
00:00GOAL (COL): Wojtek Wolski, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy, assists: Peter Budaj(SO)
00:00GOAL (COL): Ryan Smyth, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
@ MIN (Oct 23, 2008)vs OTT (Oct 27, 2008) ›