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December 8, 2008

Mellon Arena | Pittsburgh

BUF 43 PIT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
PIT2103
Shots on goal BUF 29, PIT 32W R. MillerL D. Sabourin
Summary

PIT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .906
PIT D. Sabourin .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
PIT 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P3 6:13), Sabres win chance rises from 46% to 80%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
J. Pominville
23:20
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
25:14
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.906 (29/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:13T. Vanek (20) 46% to 80%+34
  2. P2 14:49D. Paille (3) 20% to 44%+24
  3. P1 15:15R. Fedotenko (7) 43% to 24%-19
  4. P1 11:07D. Roy (8) 24% to 42%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
5
1.0
20:41
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
10:05
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
10:01
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
11:13
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
4
2
0.8
17:47
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
16:05
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.8
23:20
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
1.0
8:33
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
2
0.6
17:41
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
8:53
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
15:01
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
9:46
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
22:54
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
20:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
15:38
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
15:55
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
25:14
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
15:29
Total
4
6
10
14
29
9.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller323.9060.759:44W

Team Stats

BUFPIT
29Shots on Goal32
3Power Play Chances8
0%PP%13%
88%PK%100%
0PPG1
18Penalty Minutes8
32Hits20
10Blocked Shots19
4Giveaways11
1Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
09:37GOAL (PIT): Ruslan Fedotenko (6), assists: Evgeni Malkin, Petr Sykora
11:07GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (8), unassisted
15:15GOAL (PIT): Ruslan Fedotenko (7), assists: Evgeni Malkin, Petr Sykora
2ND
01:31GOAL (PIT): Kris Letang (1), assists: Sidney Crosby
06:40GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (7), assists: Adam Mair, Maxim Afinogenov
14:49GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (3), assists: Paul Gaustad, Clarke MacArthur
3RD
06:13GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (20), assists: Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht
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