@ PIT (Dec 8, 2008)vs TOR (Dec 12, 2008) ›

December 10, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 24 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL2002
BUF1214
Shots on goal TBL 28, BUF 37W R. MillerL M. Smith
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
TBL M. Smith .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
TBL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 11:52), Sabres win chance rises from 30% to 55%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Pominville
21:49
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
22:36
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (26/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 11:52T. Vanek (21) 30% to 55%+25
  2. P2 19:45T. Vanek (22) 58% to 82%+24
  3. P1 10:21M. St. Louis (8) 57% to 37%-20
  4. P1 19:22D. Stafford (5) 18% to 35%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
4
2.2
21:49
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
0
2
+1
0
4
1.8
21:02
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.1
18:27
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
4
0.9
14:08
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
14:59
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
1.0
19:13
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
21:53
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.2
11:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.3
9:12
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
5
4
0.3
15:30
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:57
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
11:57
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
11:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
22:22
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:35
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:27
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:36
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:35
Total
4
6
10
16
37
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller282.9291.159:58W

Team Stats

TBLBUF
28Shots on Goal37
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
24Penalty Minutes20
16Hits13
17Blocked Shots5
7Giveaways14
4Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
10:21GOAL (TBL): Martin St. Louis (8), assists: Steven Stamkos
16:18GOAL (TBL): Mark Recchi (7), assists: Paul Ranger, Paul Szczechura
19:22GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (5), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Jason Pominville
2ND
11:52GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (21), assists: Ales Kotalik
19:45GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (22), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
3RD
19:47GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (9), assists: Jochen Hecht
@ PIT (Dec 8, 2008)vs TOR (Dec 12, 2008) ›