vs TBL (Dec 10, 2008)@ NJD (Dec 13, 2008) ›

December 12, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 21 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0112
BUF1001
Shots on goal TOR 33, BUF 25W V. ToskalaL R. Miller
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .939
TOR V. Toskala .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
TOR 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
I. White goal (P3 12:04), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 13%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Lydman
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Pominville
22:54
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
26:56
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:04I. White (5) 52% to 13%-39
  2. P2 17:39J. Williams (2) 80% to 53%-27
  3. P1 06:02T. Lydman (1) 55% to 73%+18
  4. P2 19:50High sticking double minor on Lee Stempniak, 4 min 53% to 63%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
21:13
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
16:51
#5 T. Lydman (D)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
18:11
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
13:21
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:52
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:14
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
22:18
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:23
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.5
22:54
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:40
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
13:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
21:23
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
8:17
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
26:56
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:32
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:42
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:14
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.3
25:00
Total
1
2
3
6
25
4.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller332.9391.659:26L

Team Stats

TORBUF
33Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes8
14Hits11
14Blocked Shots7
9Giveaways10
3Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
06:02GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman (1), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford
2ND
17:39GOAL (TOR): Jeremy Williams (2), assists: Pavel Kubina
3RD
12:04GOAL (TOR): Ian White (5), assists: Mikhail Grabovski, Lee Stempniak
vs TBL (Dec 10, 2008)@ NJD (Dec 13, 2008) ›