vs TOR (Dec 12, 2008)vs NJD (Dec 17, 2008) ›

December 13, 2008

Prudential Center | Newark

BUF 42 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1124
NJD0202
Shots on goal BUF 34, NJD 22W P. LalimeL K. Weekes
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .909
NJD K. Weekes .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 2
NJD 0 of 0
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P3 8:43), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 83%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Paille
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:40
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:34
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:43D. Roy (9) 52% to 83%+31
  2. P2 00:58P. Elias (13) 66% to 44%-22
  3. P2 05:09B. Holik (1) 44% to 23%-21
  4. P2 11:05D. Stafford (6) 24% to 45%+21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.7
21:40
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
0
2
+1
0
4
1.9
19:48
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
17:07
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
19:45
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
17:05
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
14:06
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
18:56
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:18
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
16:09
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
19:50
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
13:19
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
7
2
0.1
13:50
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:07
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:34
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
0:55
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
24:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
24:12
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:45
Total
4
8
12
7
34
11.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime222.9090.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFNJD
34Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances0
100%PP%
PK%0%
2PPG0
7Penalty Minutes11
15Hits17
9Blocked Shots6
5Giveaways7
7Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
01:10GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (23), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Pominville
2ND
00:58GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias (13), assists: Brian Gionta, Colin White
05:09GOAL (NJD): Bobby Holik (1), assists: David Clarkson, Mike Rupp
11:05GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (6), assists: Nathan Gerbe, Teppo Numminen
3RD
08:43GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (9), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Ales Kotalik
12:54GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (24), assists: Derek Roy, Andrej Sekera
vs TOR (Dec 12, 2008)vs NJD (Dec 17, 2008) ›