@ NJD (Dec 13, 2008)vs LAK (Dec 19, 2008) ›

December 17, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NJD 53 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD2125
BUF1113
Shots on goal NJD 30, BUF 26W S. ClemmensenL R. Miller
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .833
NJD S. Clemmensen .885
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NJD 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
Z. Parise goal (P1 11:44), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 30%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
21:02
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
24:26
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.833 (25/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 11:44Z. Parise (18) 49% to 30%-19
  2. P1 06:58D. Stafford (7) 32% to 51%+19
  3. P1 01:36T. Zajac (8) 51% to 33%-18
  4. P2 10:52B. Salvador (2) 26% to 10%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
21:02
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
10:37
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:14
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
2
1
0.8
13:41
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
18:40
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
1.1
9:41
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.8
16:43
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
15:15
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
23:50
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.2
14:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
14:26
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
14:42
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
11:06
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
22:46
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
19:19
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
16:40
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
9:18
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
24:26
Total
3
6
9
10
26
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller305.833-1.258:30L

Team Stats

NJDBUF
30Shots on Goal26
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes10
17Hits15
11Blocked Shots10
6Giveaways13
2Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
01:36GOAL (NJD): Travis Zajac (8), assists: Mike Mottau, Jamie Langenbrunner
06:58GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (7), assists: Clarke MacArthur, Derek Roy
11:44GOAL (NJD): Zach Parise (18), assists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Patrik Elias
2ND
10:52GOAL (NJD): Bryce Salvador (2), assists: Patrik Elias, Brian Gionta
11:10GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (2), assists: Daniel Paille, Jaroslav Spacek
3RD
06:04GOAL (NJD): David Clarkson (6), unassisted
09:31GOAL (NJD): Brian Rolston (2), assists: David Clarkson
09:43GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (3), assists: Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht
@ NJD (Dec 13, 2008)vs LAK (Dec 19, 2008) ›