vs NJD (Dec 17, 2008)@ MTL (Dec 20, 2008) ›

December 19, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

LAK 05 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs LAK all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK0000
BUF1225
Shots on goal LAK 40, BUF 22W R. MillerL J. LaBarbera
Summary

LAK had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
LAK J. Quick .875
LAK J. LaBarbera .714
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
LAK 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P1 16:05), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 73%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:55
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:54
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (40/40)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFLAK

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFLAK

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFLAK
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 16:05D. Roy (10) 52% to 73%+21
  2. P2 02:33A. Mair (4) 74% to 89%+15
  3. P2 06:56C. MacArthur (7) 90% to 97%+7
  4. P1 18:34Slashing on Adam Mair, 2 min 73% to 70%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
0
2.1
20:52
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.5
20:13
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
15:43
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
17:06
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:37
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
8:10
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
16:54
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
3:49
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.9
12:16
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.4
18:54
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
9:05
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.3
9:35
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
20:55
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
21:16
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
22:54
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
20:53
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
16:32
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:16
Total
5
7
12
4
22
11.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller4001.0004.060:00W

Team Stats

LAKBUF
40Shots on Goal22
1Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes4
18Hits18
9Blocked Shots14
4Giveaways14
2Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
16:05GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (10), unassisted
2ND
02:33GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (4), assists: Chris Butler, Thomas Vanek
06:56GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (7), assists: Drew Stafford, Derek Roy
3RD
03:01GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (8), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
14:33GOAL (BUF): Matt Ellis (1), assists: Andrew Peters
vs NJD (Dec 17, 2008)@ MTL (Dec 20, 2008) ›