vs NYI (Dec 27, 2008)@ TOR (Jan 1, 2009) ›

December 30, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH2114
BUF0022
Shots on goal WSH 31, BUF 33W J. TheodoreL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .900
WSH J. Theodore .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
WSH 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. Laich goal (P1 1:57), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 32%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mair
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:33
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
21:13
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:57B. Laich (11) 49% to 32%-17
  2. P1 09:02C. Bourque (1) 31% to 16%-15
  3. P2 12:11N. Backstrom (11) 9% to 3%-6
  4. P1 00:46Tripping on Derek Roy, 2 min 50% to 47%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
12:16
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
13:29
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:05
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
18:17
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:59
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
19:05
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
22:33
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:58
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
7:31
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:24
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.1
18:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.4
21:26
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
6:20
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
8:23
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:04
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:08
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:08
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
21:13
Total
2
4
6
8
33
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller303.9000.559:36L

Team Stats

WSHBUF
31Shots on Goal33
4Power Play Chances5
50%PP%20%
80%PK%50%
2PPG1
10Penalty Minutes8
13Hits20
13Blocked Shots8
9Giveaways18
4Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
01:57GOAL (WSH): Brooks Laich (11), assists: Nicklas Backstrom, Viktor Kozlov
09:02GOAL (WSH): Chris Bourque (1), assists: David Steckel, Eric Fehr
2ND
12:11GOAL (WSH): Nicklas Backstrom (11), assists: Viktor Kozlov, Mike Green
3RD
07:41GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (5), assists: Paul Gaustad, Toni Lydman
19:17GOAL (WSH): Boyd Gordon (4), unassisted
19:49GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (11), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jaroslav Spacek
vs NYI (Dec 27, 2008)@ TOR (Jan 1, 2009) ›