vs WSH (Dec 30, 2008)@ BOS (Jan 3, 2009) ›

January 1, 2009

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 41 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0314
TOR0011
Shots on goal BUF 20, TOR 28W R. MillerL C. Joseph
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .964
TOR C. Joseph .800
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
TOR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P2 6:50), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 73%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:46
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:49
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 06:50J. Pominville (11) 52% to 73%+21
  2. P2 09:11D. Roy (12) 73% to 89%+16
  3. P2 11:29J. Pominville (12) 90% to 97%+7
  4. P2 06:01Hooking on Ian White, 2 min 49% to 53%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
1
3
+1
0
2
2.5
20:46
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
2
2
0
2
2
1.1
13:19
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.7
17:14
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
2
1.7
17:24
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.6
20:25
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:00
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
6:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:44
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
19:23
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
8:54
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
11:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:53
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
12:09
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
21:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
19:35
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:34
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:25
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
21:34
Total
4
6
10
10
20
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller281.9642.060:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
20Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances5
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
2PPG0
10Penalty Minutes8
26Hits12
18Blocked Shots9
9Giveaways10
9Takeaways7

Full Game Log

2ND
06:50GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (11), assists: Derek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek
09:11GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (12), assists: Thomas Vanek, Drew Stafford
11:29GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (12), unassisted
3RD
05:58GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (13), assists: Thomas Vanek, Drew Stafford
08:29GOAL (TOR): John Mitchell (3), assists: Jamal Mayers, Ian White
vs WSH (Dec 30, 2008)@ BOS (Jan 3, 2009) ›