vs OTT (Feb 11, 2009)vs CAR (Feb 15, 2009) ›

February 13, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

SJS 56 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs SJS all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
SJS122005
BUF311016
Shots on goal SJS 35, BUF 35W R. MillerL E. Nabokov
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 6-5 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .857
SJS E. Nabokov .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 6
SJS 2 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P3 19:56), Sabres win chance rises from 0% to 48%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Rivet
3 (3A)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:25
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
24:46
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.857 (30/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSJS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:56
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFSJS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSJS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:56J. Pominville (13) 0% to 48%+48
  2. P3 10:14J. Pavelski (15) 47% to 12%-35
  3. P3 06:09D. Setoguchi (23) 80% to 47%-33
  4. P1 06:40A. Mair (7) 45% to 64%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
3
3
+1
2
2
2.1
24:46
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.7
22:25
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
15:46
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
5
1.7
20:21
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
21:45
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.9
17:14
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
11:02
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
13:46
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
0
1
-2
0
2
1.1
21:25
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
11:07
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:39
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:47
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
19:19
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
19:18
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.3
18:11
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
18:51
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:39
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:09
Total
5
9
14
4
35
13.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller355.857-0.763:38W

Team Stats

SJSBUF
35Shots on Goal35
2Power Play Chances6
100%PP%50%
50%PK%0%
2PPG3
14Penalty Minutes4
13Hits23
9Blocked Shots8
5Giveaways13
5Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
06:40GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (7), assists: Craig Rivet, Ales Kotalik
08:53GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (4), assists: Tim Connolly, Jason Pominville
14:21GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (20), assists: Drew Stafford
18:17GOAL (SJS): Patrick Marleau (28), assists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Joe Thornton
2ND
08:27GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (12), assists: Craig Rivet, Matt Ellis
09:39GOAL (SJS): Patrick Marleau (29), assists: Joe Thornton, Alexei Semenov
19:08GOAL (SJS): Dan Boyle (14), assists: Joe Thornton
3RD
06:09GOAL (SJS): Devin Setoguchi (23), assists: Dan Boyle, Joe Thornton
10:14GOAL (SJS): Joe Pavelski (15), unassisted
19:56GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (13), assists: Craig Rivet, Derek Roy
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville, assists: Evgeni Nabokov(SO)
00:00GOAL (SJS): Patrick Marleau, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy, assists: Evgeni Nabokov(SO)
vs OTT (Feb 11, 2009)vs CAR (Feb 15, 2009) ›