vs SJS (Feb 13, 2009)@ TOR (Feb 17, 2009) ›

February 15, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 30 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR2013
BUF0000
Shots on goal CAR 47, BUF 36W C. WardL R. Miller
Summary

CAR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .889
Buffalo P. Lalime .966
CAR C. Ward 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
CAR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
E. Staal goal (P1 9:20), Sabres win chance drops from 56% to 39%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
D. Roy
20:10
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
25:57
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.966 (28/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:20E. Staal (24) 56% to 39%-17
  2. P1 13:50C. LaRose (13) 37% to 20%-17
  3. P1 04:36High sticking double minor on Sergei Samsonov, 4 min 59% to 65%+6
  4. P1 08:48Hooking on Tim Connolly, 2 min 58% to 55%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
20:10
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:50
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.0
19:09
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:03
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
6
0.5
17:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:36
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.5
18:48
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:23
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
12:52
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
13:01
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:11
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.5
16:35
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
15:39
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
18:06
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
13:47
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
23:27
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
15:33
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
25:57
Total
0
0
0
10
36
3.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime291.9662.140:00
#30 R. Miller182.8890.120:00L

Team Stats

CARBUF
47Shots on Goal36
5Power Play Chances5
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes10
8Hits16
15Blocked Shots10
10Giveaways10
5Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
09:20GOAL (CAR): Eric Staal (24), unassisted
13:50GOAL (CAR): Chad LaRose (13), assists: Eric Staal, Anton Babchuk
3RD
17:48GOAL (CAR): Sergei Samsonov (12), assists: Tuomo Ruutu, Eric Staal
vs SJS (Feb 13, 2009)@ TOR (Feb 17, 2009) ›