vs NYR (Feb 21, 2009)@ CAR (Feb 26, 2009) ›

February 24, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ANA 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ANA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA1203
BUF1012
Shots on goal ANA 22, BUF 36W J. GiguereL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .864
ANA J. Giguere .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
ANA 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
T. Marchant goal (P2 11:34), Sabres win chance drops from 57% to 32%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Pominville
22:19
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:37
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.864 (19/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFANA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFANA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFANA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 11:34T. Marchant (3) 57% to 32%-25
  2. P1 11:10P. Gaustad (7) 35% to 55%+20
  3. P1 01:10T. Selanne (19) 56% to 37%-19
  4. P2 18:54M. Brown (1) 25% to 8%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
-1
2
5
1.8
14:51
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
-1
7
2
1.0
17:03
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
22:19
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.0
21:17
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
18:07
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
20:53
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.5
21:21
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
9:12
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
16:00
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:56
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:19
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:38
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:34
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:32
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
22:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:47
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
12:20
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:41
Total
2
4
6
15
36
7.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime223.864-0.359:03L

Team Stats

ANABUF
22Shots on Goal36
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
17Penalty Minutes15
16Hits16
7Blocked Shots13
7Giveaways8
4Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
01:10GOAL (ANA): Teemu Selanne (19), unassisted
11:10GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (7), assists: Ales Kotalik, Jason Pominville
2ND
11:34GOAL (ANA): Todd Marchant (3), assists: Scott Niedermayer, Chris Kunitz
18:54GOAL (ANA): Mike Brown (1), assists: Brendan Morrison, Todd Marchant
3RD
18:54GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (13), assists: Craig Rivet, Jochen Hecht
vs NYR (Feb 21, 2009)@ CAR (Feb 26, 2009) ›