vs PHX (Mar 6, 2009)@ PHI (Mar 10, 2009) ›

March 7, 2009

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 36 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
OTT1236
Shots on goal BUF 30, OTT 36W B. ElliottL P. Lalime
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .833
OTT B. Elliott .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 5
OTT 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
C. Campoli goal (P3 9:35), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 15%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Lydman
2 (2A)
POINTS
P. Gaustad
18:21
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:35
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.833 (30/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 09:35C. Campoli (8) 51% to 15%-36
  2. P3 08:16J. Hecht (8) 17% to 51%+34
  3. P2 19:28N. Foligno (12) 52% to 23%-29
  4. P2 10:46C. Kelly (8) 52% to 27%-25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
2
2
-2
2
2
1.2
22:35
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
-2
0
2
0.9
14:12
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
2
1
0.7
14:16
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
-3
0
1
0.8
17:36
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.9
22:01
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
0
0.7
16:29
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
3
0.2
16:30
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
16:27
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
17:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:40
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
18:21
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
4
0.3
18:19
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
10:43
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
8:23
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
10:18
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
2
-0.1
19:47
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.1
14:29
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
21:44
Total
3
4
7
12
30
7.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime366.833-1.559:52L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
30Shots on Goal36
5Power Play Chances6
60%PP%17%
83%PK%40%
3PPG1
12Penalty Minutes10
26Hits24
7Blocked Shots11
7Giveaways8
8Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
04:44GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (19), assists: Filip Kuba, Jason Spezza
10:38GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (19), assists: Craig Rivet, Toni Lydman
2ND
10:46GOAL (OTT): Chris Kelly (8), assists: Shean Donovan, Jarkko Ruutu
18:15GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (33), unassisted
19:28GOAL (OTT): Nick Foligno (12), assists: Mike Fisher, Ryan Shannon
3RD
08:16GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (8), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Toni Lydman
09:35GOAL (OTT): Chris Campoli (8), assists: Chris Kelly, Peter Regin
15:16GOAL (OTT): Nick Foligno (13), assists: Ryan Shannon, Mike Fisher
16:37GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (20), assists: Chris Campoli
vs PHX (Mar 6, 2009)@ PHI (Mar 10, 2009) ›