@ PHI (Mar 10, 2009)vs ATL (Mar 14, 2009) ›

March 12, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA1001
BUF2013
Shots on goal FLA 31, BUF 23W P. LalimeL T. Vokoun
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .968
FLA T. Vokoun .870
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
FLA 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Paille goal (P1 17:05), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 73%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Spacek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
3
SHOTS
T. Connolly
19:53
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:05
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.968 (30/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 17:05D. Paille (8) 53% to 73%+20
  2. P1 09:36M. Repik (2) 72% to 53%-19
  3. P1 03:04J. Spacek (8) 54% to 71%+17
  4. P3 10:31Hooking on Henrik Tallinder, 2 min 85% to 79%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.6
22:44
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
17:11
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
19:53
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
14:45
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.9
19:11
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:33
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:26
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
14:14
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:15
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.2
15:58
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
9:58
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
14:56
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:32
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
24:05
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
20:01
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:12
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:15
Total
3
5
8
8
23
8.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime311.9682.359:45W

Team Stats

FLABUF
31Shots on Goal23
4Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes8
11Hits11
10Blocked Shots17
5Giveaways5
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
03:04GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (8), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
09:36GOAL (FLA): Michal Repik (2), assists: David Booth
17:05GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (8), assists: Andrej Sekera, Jaroslav Spacek
3RD
17:08GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (34), assists: Derek Roy
@ PHI (Mar 10, 2009)vs ATL (Mar 14, 2009) ›