vs FLA (Mar 12, 2009)@ OTT (Mar 17, 2009) ›

March 14, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 43 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
ATL102014
BUF030003
Shots on goal ATL 32, BUF 37W K. LehtonenL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .906
ATL K. Lehtonen .919
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
ATL 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. White goal (P3 19:56), Sabres win chance drops from 100% to 52%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
24:01
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
25:16
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.906 (29/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 28 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:53
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:56T. White (19) 100% to 52%-48
  2. P2 13:19D. Paille (9) 30% to 56%+26
  3. P2 16:31D. Roy (25) 56% to 81%+25
  4. P1 19:34V. Kozlov (19) 55% to 36%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.8
24:01
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
11:53
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
16:34
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
16:27
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+2
2
3
1.0
14:46
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
18:23
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.4
19:29
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:16
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:51
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
20:49
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:35
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:35
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.1
25:16
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
24:03
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
23:09
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
15:05
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
21:32
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
17:28
Total
3
3
6
12
37
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime323.9060.765:00O

Team Stats

ATLBUF
32Shots on Goal37
6Power Play Chances3
17%PP%0%
100%PK%83%
1PPG0
26Penalty Minutes12
23Hits17
20Blocked Shots8
12Giveaways13
1Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
19:34GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (19), assists: Zach Bogosian, Toby Enstrom
2ND
13:19GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (9), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford
16:31GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (25), unassisted
18:24GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (4), assists: Thomas Vanek
3RD
13:26GOAL (ATL): Marty Reasoner (12), assists: Colin Stuart
19:56GOAL (ATL): Todd White (19), assists: Ron Hainsey, Toby Enstrom
SO
00:00GOAL (ATL): Brett Sterling, assists: Patrick Lalime(SO)
vs FLA (Mar 12, 2009)@ OTT (Mar 17, 2009) ›