@ OTT (Mar 17, 2009)@ NYR (Mar 21, 2009) ›

March 20, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 64 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI1326
BUF0314
Shots on goal PHI 31, BUF 43W M. BironL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 4-6.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .806
PHI M. Biron .907
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 7
PHI 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (P2 19:25), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 22%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Moore
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
T. Connolly
23:05
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:46
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.806 (25/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:25D. Brière (7) 51% to 22%-29
  2. P2 17:20D. Brière (6) 78% to 51%-27
  3. P2 14:06D. Roy (26) 51% to 76%+25
  4. P2 06:22D. Moore (13) 51% to 74%+23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 D. Moore (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.8
14:24
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.2
21:22
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
5
0.9
23:05
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
9:08
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.8
17:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
5
1.2
19:34
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.1
19:06
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
1
1
0
4
1
0.8
11:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
16:00
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
11:43
#34 C. Butler (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.3
16:19
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
11:02
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
8:17
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
19:30
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.4
22:46
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:20
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
12:38
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
22:31
Total
4
8
12
12
43
12.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime316.806-2.060:00L

Team Stats

PHIBUF
31Shots on Goal43
3Power Play Chances7
67%PP%0%
100%PK%33%
2PPG0
30Penalty Minutes12
19Hits21
17Blocked Shots11
7Giveaways15
3Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
18:28GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (28), assists: Kimmo Timonen
2ND
03:55GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (35), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
06:22GOAL (BUF): Dominic Moore (13), assists: Patrick Kaleta, Daniel Paille
10:14GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (28), assists: Mike Richards, Claude Giroux
14:06GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (26), assists: Jochen Hecht, Drew Stafford
17:20GOAL (PHI): Daniel Brière (6), assists: Matt Carle, Arron Asham
19:25GOAL (PHI): Daniel Brière (7), assists: Mike Richards, Matt Carle
3RD
04:31GOAL (PHI): Mike Knuble (25), assists: Claude Giroux, Kimmo Timonen
17:49GOAL (PHI): Jeff Carter (39), assists: Kimmo Timonen
19:58GOAL (BUF): Chris Butler (1), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Dominic Moore
@ OTT (Mar 17, 2009)@ NYR (Mar 21, 2009) ›