vs PHX (Oct 8, 2009) ›

October 3, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 21 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL01012
BUF10001
Shots on goal MTL 17, BUF 35W C. PriceL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 1-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .882
MTL C. Price .971
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
MTL 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
B. Gionta goal (OT 2:42), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:35
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
23:24
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.882 (15/17)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-MTL.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won12-713-108-110-133-29
Hits6-56-15-50-117-12
Takeaways7-20-02-10-09-3
Giveaways2-13-34-50-09-9
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.000MTL 1.000. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 2:42
+19+100-10-19shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 2:42
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 02:42B. Gionta (1) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P2 12:33T. Moen (1), shorthanded 78% to 53%-25
  3. P1 02:40T. Connolly (1), power play 56% to 71%+15
  4. P3 12:17Tripping on Andrei Kostitsyn, 2 min 51% to 58%+7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 2:42
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1C. PriceMTL | G0.96 GAA, .971 SV%
2B. GiontaMTL | RW1G 0A 1P
3T. MyersBUF | D0G 0A 0P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
20:35
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
19:21
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
5
1.0
23:24
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.6
13:00
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
13:14
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:10
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:42
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.1
11:37
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:07
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
9:05
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:05
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:23
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
15:55
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
22:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:17
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
22:57
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
21:54
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.5
16:13
Total
1
2
3
18
35
5.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller172.8820.062:42O

Team Stats

MTLBUF
17Shots on Goal35
0.0%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5)1.000
1.000PDO (5v5)1.000
29 (47%)Faceoffs Won33 (53%)
6Power Play Chances7
0%PP%14%
86%PK%100%
0PPG1
20Penalty Minutes18
12Hits17
12Blocked Shots12
9Giveaways9
3Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
02:40GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Craig Rivet, Derek Roy(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
12:33GOAL (MTL): Travis Moen (1), assists: Roman Hamrlik, Jaroslav Spacek(SH)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
02:42GOAL (MTL): Brian Gionta (1), assists: Scott Gomez
02:42Period end
vs PHX (Oct 8, 2009) ›