vs NYI (Nov 4, 2009)@ BOS (Nov 7, 2009) ›

November 6, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 52 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI1225
BUF0112
Shots on goal PHI 37, BUF 30W R. EmeryL R. Miller
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .889
PHI R. Emery .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
PHI 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Carcillo goal (P1 18:39), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 32%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
18:31
TOI (F)
T. Myers
21:10
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.889 (32/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-PHI.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won11-79-127-1127-30
Hits4-54-91-49-18
Takeaways0-03-01-04-0
Giveaways3-42-33-08-7
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.900PHI 1.100. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:39D. Carcillo (1) 53% to 32%-21
  2. P2 14:55J. van Riemsdyk (1) 26% to 9%-17
  3. P2 00:28C. Pronger (1) 31% to 15%-16
  4. P2 04:28D. Roy (1) 16% to 31%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:12
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
2
1.7
18:03
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.6
18:31
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
17:01
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.8
19:42
#57 T. Myers (D)
1
0
1
-3
2
1
1.0
21:10
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
13:38
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
14:14
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:34
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:20
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.3
13:34
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.2
8:26
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
6:50
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.4
17:21
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
15:01
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
18:36
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:00
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
20:56
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:45
Total
2
4
6
10
30
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller364.8890.258:18L

Team Stats

PHIBUF
37Shots on Goal30
10.0%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5).900
1.100PDO (5v5)0.900
30 (53%)Faceoffs Won27 (47%)
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG2
14Penalty Minutes10
18Hits9
11Blocked Shots9
7Giveaways8
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
18:39GOAL (PHI): Daniel Carcillo (1), assists: Braydon Coburn, Ian Laperriere
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
00:28GOAL (PHI): Chris Pronger (1), assists: Blair Betts, Ian Laperriere
04:28GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
14:55GOAL (PHI): James van Riemsdyk (1), assists: Kimmo Timonen, Jeff Carter
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
02:34GOAL (PHI): Darroll Powe (1), unassisted
10:34GOAL (BUF): Tyler Myers (1), assists: Derek Roy, Craig Rivet(PP)
19:12GOAL (PHI): Daniel Carcillo (2), assists: Chris Pronger(EN)
vs NYI (Nov 4, 2009)@ BOS (Nov 7, 2009) ›