@ PHI (Nov 14, 2009)vs BOS (Nov 20, 2009) ›

November 18, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 62 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA1146
BUF1012
Shots on goal FLA 24, BUF 28W T. VokounL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 2-6.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .783
FLA T. Vokoun .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
FLA 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Frolik goal (P1 18:21), Sabres win chance drops from 79% to 59%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (2A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
22:13
TOI (F)
T. Myers
21:38
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.783 (18/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-FLA.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won7-115-105-1117-32
Hits1-39-65-415-13
Takeaways3-02-00-25-2
Giveaways8-58-39-625-14
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.857FLA 1.143. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:21M. Frolik (1) 79% to 59%-20
  2. P1 14:23D. Stafford (1) 60% to 78%+18
  3. P3 10:50C. Stillman (1) 16% to 3%-13
  4. P2 18:51Tripping on Dominic Moore, 2 min 27% to 32%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:00
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1M. FrolikFLA | RW1G 0A 1P
2K. BallardFLA | D0G 3A 3P
3S. WeissFLA | C1G 1A 2P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
-2
0
3
1.6
18:48
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.6
22:13
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
-2
0
3
1.0
18:16
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
12:11
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
-2
2
1
0.5
15:50
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
16:04
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
9:21
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
8:45
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
19:27
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.5
18:09
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.3
14:16
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:54
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:14
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:16
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
18:20
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.3
19:08
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:00
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
21:38
Total
2
4
6
6
28
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller235.783-1.959:54L

Team Stats

FLABUF
24Shots on Goal28
19.0%Shooting % (5v5)4.8%
.952Save % (5v5).810
1.143PDO (5v5)0.857
32 (65%)Faceoffs Won17 (35%)
3Power Play Chances4
33%PP%25%
75%PK%67%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes6
13Hits15
21Blocked Shots11
14Giveaways25
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
14:23GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Thomas Vanek, Tim Connolly
18:21GOAL (FLA): Michael Frolik (1), assists: Nathan Horton, Keith Ballard
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
01:21GOAL (FLA): Stephen Weiss (1), unassisted
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
10:50GOAL (FLA): Cory Stillman (1), assists: Steve Reinprecht, Keith Ballard
14:17GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (1), assists: Thomas Vanek, Craig Rivet(PP)
17:58GOAL (FLA): Michael Frolik (2), assists: Bryan McCabe, Keith Ballard(PP)
18:12GOAL (FLA): Rostislav Olesz (1), assists: Gregory Campbell, Dominic Moore(EN)
19:00GOAL (FLA): Dominic Moore (1), assists: Rostislav Olesz, Gregory Campbell
20:00Period end
@ PHI (Nov 14, 2009)vs BOS (Nov 20, 2009) ›