@ OTT (Dec 16, 2009)vs PIT (Dec 19, 2009) ›

December 18, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR1012
BUF0415
Shots on goal TOR 42, BUF 27W R. MillerL V. Toskala
Summary

TOR had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .952
TOR V. Toskala .600
TOR J. Gustavsson .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
TOR 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P2 1:32), Sabres win chance rises from 37% to 59%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Grier
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
P. Gaustad
19:36
TOI (F)
T. Myers
22:24
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.952 (40/42)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-TOR.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won9-99-610-1028-25
Hits2-54-63-49-15
Takeaways1-10-12-03-2
Giveaways6-31-33-410-10
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.151TOR 0.849. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 01:32D. Roy (1) 37% to 59%+22
  2. P2 07:02T. Lydman (1) 59% to 80%+21
  3. P1 03:06V. Stalberg (1) 61% to 42%-19
  4. P2 09:14M. Grier (1) 81% to 93%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:40
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1M. GrierBUF | RW1G 1A 2P
2R. MillerBUF | G2.00 GAA, .952 SV%
3T. LydmanBUF | D1G 1A 2P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.6
15:44
#5 T. Lydman (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.4
17:09
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
17:00
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
12:48
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
1.0
14:44
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
15:34
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
10:44
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
17:15
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
18:41
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
22:24
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.4
16:47
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:53
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
19:36
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
13:59
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
15:19
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
19:18
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
19:03
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
21:02
Total
5
7
12
2
27
10.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller422.9522.560:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
42Shots on Goal27
4.9%Shooting % (5v5)20.0%
.800Save % (5v5).951
0.849PDO (5v5)1.151
25 (47%)Faceoffs Won28 (53%)
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes2
15Hits9
11Blocked Shots11
10Giveaways10
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
03:06GOAL (TOR): Viktor Stalberg (1), assists: Jamal Mayers, Colton Orr
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
01:32GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Drew Stafford, Jochen Hecht
07:02GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman (1), assists: Craig Rivet
09:14GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (1), assists: Tim Kennedy
12:48GOAL (BUF): Matt Ellis (1), assists: Tyler Myers
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
11:09GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Mike Grier, Toni Lydman
19:40GOAL (TOR): Lee Stempniak (1), assists: Nikolay Kulemin
20:00Period end
@ OTT (Dec 16, 2009)vs PIT (Dec 19, 2009) ›