@ MTL (Dec 14, 2009)vs TOR (Dec 18, 2009) ›

December 16, 2009

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 02 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0000
OTT1012
Shots on goal BUF 22, OTT 28W B. ElliottL R. Miller
Summary

OTT had more shot attempts in all situations and won 2-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
OTT B. Elliott 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Picard goal (P1 18:23), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 30%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
D. Roy
21:28
TOI (F)
T. Myers
28:32
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (26/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-OTT.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won4-116-1110-620-28
Hits7-129-44-720-23
Takeaways4-41-43-18-9
Giveaways3-36-23-112-6
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.900OTT 1.100. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:23A. Picard (1) 51% to 30%-21
  2. P2 00:29Boarding on Jarkko Ruutu, 5 min 29% to 38%+9
  3. P3 10:56Roughing on Jarkko Ruutu, 2 min 13% to 19%+6
  4. P3 08:26Hooking on Chris Kelly, 2 min 16% to 21%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:59
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1R. MillerBUF | G2.05 GAA, .929 SV%
2B. ElliottOTT | G0.00 GAA, 1.000 SV%
3J. WinchesterOTT | C0G 0A 0P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.4
21:28
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
13:52
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.3
19:41
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
12:38
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
9:59
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:42
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
20:20
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.2
20:24
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
5:16
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:04
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:38
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
15:17
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:11
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:41
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
21:33
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
17:37
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:42
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
28:32
Total
0
0
0
8
22
2.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller282.9291.158:25L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
22Shots on Goal28
0.0%Shooting % (5v5)10.0%
.900Save % (5v5)1.000
0.900PDO (5v5)1.100
20 (42%)Faceoffs Won28 (58%)
6Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes13
20Hits23
9Blocked Shots12
12Giveaways6
8Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
18:23GOAL (OTT): Alexandre Picard (1), assists: Chris Kelly
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
18:24GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (1), assists: Peter Regin
20:00Period end
@ MTL (Dec 14, 2009)vs TOR (Dec 18, 2009) ›