@ WSH (Dec 23, 2009)@ STL (Dec 27, 2009) ›

December 26, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 32 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
OTT020013
BUF020002
Shots on goal OTT 40, BUF 22W P. LeclaireL R. Miller
Summary

OTT had more shot attempts in all situations and won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .950
OTT P. Leclaire .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P2 19:18), Sabres win chance rises from 30% to 55%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Connolly
22:23
TOI (F)
T. Myers
27:00
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.950 (38/40)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-OTT.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won11-137-129-65-232-33
Hits9-611-57-110-227-24
Takeaways1-22-02-00-05-2
Giveaways8-54-23-41-116-12
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.991OTT 1.009. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:33
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:18J. Pominville (1) 30% to 55%+25
  2. P2 05:15R. Shannon (1) 57% to 33%-24
  3. P2 06:05C. Neil (1) 33% to 15%-18
  4. P2 17:15T. Vanek (1) 10% to 27%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 4:33
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
13:38
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.2
22:23
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:11
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
19:33
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
19:39
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
20:56
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
15:51
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
7:50
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
0.1
11:46
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:06
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:32
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
15:51
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:10
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
17:28
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
24:35
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
18:59
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
17:32
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
27:00
Total
2
4
6
8
22
6.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller402.9502.365:00O

Team Stats

OTTBUF
40Shots on Goal22
7.1%Shooting % (5v5)6.3%
.938Save % (5v5).929
1.009PDO (5v5)0.991
33 (51%)Faceoffs Won32 (49%)
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes8
24Hits27
11Blocked Shots9
12Giveaways16
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
05:15GOAL (OTT): Ryan Shannon (1), assists: Alex Kovalev, Mike Fisher
06:05GOAL (OTT): Chris Neil (1), assists: Anton Volchenkov, Chris Phillips
17:15GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Mike Grier, Steve Montador
19:18GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Derek Roy
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
05:00Period end
SO
00:00Period start
00:00GOAL (OTT): Alex Kovalev, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher, unassisted(SO)
00:00Shootout complete
00:00Period end
00:00Game end
@ WSH (Dec 23, 2009)@ STL (Dec 27, 2009) ›