vs OTT (Dec 26, 2009)vs PIT (Dec 29, 2009) ›

December 27, 2009

Scottrade Center | St. Louis

BUF 53 STL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1135
STL1203
Shots on goal BUF 24, STL 35W P. LalimeL T. Conklin
Summary

STL had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .914
STL T. Conklin .792
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
STL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Grier goal (P3 3:15), Sabres win chance rises from 20% to 51%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
J. Pominville
19:24
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:49
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-STL.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won10-106-209-1225-42
Hits4-75-65-114-14
Takeaways0-15-20-25-5
Giveaways1-40-22-33-9
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.063STL 0.938. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+32+160-16-32shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:15M. Grier (2) 20% to 51%+31
  2. P3 07:22T. Connolly (1), power play 54% to 84%+30
  3. P2 15:24A. Steen (2) 51% to 24%-27
  4. P2 09:14E. Brewer (1) 75% to 51%-24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:51
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
5
2.5
18:16
#25 M. Grier (RW)
2
1
3
+3
0
5
2.6
19:11
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.6
16:45
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.4
19:24
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
2
2
-2
0
1
1.3
13:57
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
17:45
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
2
0.8
17:33
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.9
25:49
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
9:55
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
18:58
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-2
6
0
-0.4
6:46
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
10:47
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
12:22
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.3
19:29
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
19:45
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
22:31
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
7:03
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-2
5
0
0.1
13:44
Total
5
10
15
17
24
12.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime353.9141.060:00W

Team Stats

BUFSTL
24Shots on Goal35
18.8%Shooting % (5v5)12.5%
.875Save % (5v5).813
1.063PDO (5v5)0.938
25 (37%)Faceoffs Won42 (63%)
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
17Penalty Minutes15
14Hits14
17Blocked Shots7
3Giveaways9
5Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
10:12GOAL (STL): Alexander Steen (1), unassisted
15:52GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
07:47GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (1), assists: Tim Kennedy, Chris Butler
09:14GOAL (STL): Eric Brewer (1), assists: Keith Tkachuk
15:24GOAL (STL): Alexander Steen (2), assists: Brad Winchester, Patrik Berglund
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
03:15GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (2), assists: Tim Kennedy, Thomas Vanek
07:22GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Chris Butler, Jason Pominville(PP)
16:44GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (2), assists: Mike Grier, Tyler Myers(SH)
vs OTT (Dec 26, 2009)vs PIT (Dec 29, 2009) ›