@ VAN (Jan 25, 2010)vs BOS (Jan 29, 2010) ›

January 27, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NJD 12 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NJD010001
BUF100012
Shots on goal NJD 40, BUF 31W R. MillerL M. Brodeur
Summary

NJD had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .975
NJD M. Brodeur .968
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
NJD 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
B. Rolston goal (P2 14:51), Sabres win chance drops from 78% to 53%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mair
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Ellis
6
SHOTS
T. Connolly
19:37
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:45
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.975 (39/40)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-NJD.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won10-83-1011-42-326-25
Hits10-29-132-20-021-17
Takeaways2-03-01-01-07-0
Giveaways4-21-36-51-012-10
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.009NJD 0.991. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:32
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 14:51B. Rolston (1) 78% to 53%-25
  2. P1 14:14A. Mair (1) 53% to 73%+20
  3. P3 07:57Interference goalkeeper on Jamie Langenbrunner, 2 min 52% to 58%+6
  4. P1 02:45Delaying game on Chris Butler, 2 min 51% to 48%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 4:32
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
17:34
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
14:10
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
15:35
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:28
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:37
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:21
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
18:40
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
16:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
10:43
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:33
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
8:33
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
15:12
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
18:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
24:00
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
24:03
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
18:39
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
22:04
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
25:45
Total
1
2
3
2
31
4.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller401.9753.265:00W

Team Stats

NJDBUF
40Shots on Goal31
2.9%Shooting % (5v5)3.8%
.962Save % (5v5).971
0.991PDO (5v5)1.009
25 (49%)Faceoffs Won26 (51%)
1Power Play Chances1
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
2Penalty Minutes2
17Hits21
11Blocked Shots12
10Giveaways12
0Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
14:14GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (1), assists: Derek Roy, Nathan Paetsch
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
14:51GOAL (NJD): Brian Rolston (1), assists: Johnny Oduya
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
05:00Period end
SO
00:00Period start
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville, unassisted(SO)
00:00Shootout complete
00:00Period end
00:00Game end
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