vs WSH (Mar 3, 2010)@ NYR (Mar 7, 2010) ›

March 5, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 23 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PHI01102
BUF01113
Shots on goal PHI 29, BUF 35W R. MillerL M. Leighton
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .931
PHI M. Leighton .914
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
PHI 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (OT 2:31), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 100%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
23:06
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:21
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-PHI.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won6-79-815-71-131-23
Hits9-109-85-50-123-24
Takeaways1-10-02-40-03-5
Giveaways4-23-24-11-012-5
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.993PHI 1.007. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 2:31
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

OT 2:31
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 02:31T. Connolly (1) 50% to 100%+50
  2. P3 14:02A. Mair (1) 10% to 51%+41
  3. P2 06:14T. Vanek (1) 28% to 52%+24
  4. P2 04:01S. Gagne (1) 52% to 29%-23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 2:31
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.5
19:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.6
15:02
#17 R. Torres (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
17:25
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
15:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.1
21:03
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.1
20:56
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
23:06
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:09
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
4:33
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
21:36
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
10:16
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
11:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
19:17
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:20
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
21:23
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
20:17
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:43
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
25:21
Total
3
5
8
2
35
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller292.9311.262:28W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
29Shots on Goal35
7.4%Shooting % (5v5)6.7%
.933Save % (5v5).926
1.007PDO (5v5)0.993
23 (43%)Faceoffs Won31 (57%)
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes2
24Hits23
9Blocked Shots18
5Giveaways12
5Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
04:01GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (1), assists: Lukas Krajicek, Kimmo Timonen
06:14GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Adam Mair
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
11:09GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (1), unassisted
14:02GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (1), assists: Mike Grier
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
02:31GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Toni Lydman, Raffi Torres
02:31Period end
vs WSH (Mar 3, 2010)@ NYR (Mar 7, 2010) ›