vs MIN (Mar 12, 2010)@ ATL (Mar 16, 2010) ›

March 13, 2010

Joe Louis Arena | Detroit

BUF 23 DET

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF11002
DET20013
Shots on goal BUF 26, DET 37W J. HowardL R. Miller
Summary

DET had more shot attempts in all situations and won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .919
DET J. Howard .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
DET 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. Rafalski, power play goal (OT 0:31), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
19:05
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.919 (34/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-DET.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won5-1110-36-70-121-22
Hits10-86-134-90-020-30
Takeaways0-41-33-30-04-10
Giveaways4-70-03-30-07-10
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.031DET 0.969. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 0:31
+29+150-15-29shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

OT 0:31
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:31B. Rafalski (1), power play 50% to 0%-50
  2. P2 05:30J. Hecht (2) 26% to 49%+23
  3. P1 02:02P. Datsyuk (1) 49% to 31%-18
  4. P1 07:02J. Hecht (1) 16% to 30%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 0:31
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1R. MillerBUF | G2.97 GAA, .919 SV%
2J. HechtBUF | C2G 0A 2P
3P. EavesDET | RW1G 0A 1P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
0
0
5
1.5
16:04
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.5
17:30
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
5
1.9
19:05
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
18:53
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:29
#17 R. Torres (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:27
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
16:21
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:32
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:02
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:51
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
11:05
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:15
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
23:31
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.3
20:05
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
22:40
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
15:12
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.2
22:41
Total
2
4
6
8
26
6.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller373.9191.260:31O

Team Stats

BUFDET
26Shots on Goal37
10.0%Shooting % (5v5)6.9%
.931Save % (5v5).900
1.031PDO (5v5)0.969
21 (49%)Faceoffs Won22 (51%)
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes6
20Hits30
11Blocked Shots7
7Giveaways10
4Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
02:02GOAL (DET): Pavel Datsyuk (1), assists: Brad Stuart, Niklas Kronwall
03:15GOAL (DET): Patrick Eaves (1), assists: Darren Helm
07:02GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
05:30GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (2), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
00:31GOAL (DET): Brian Rafalski (1), assists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Henrik Zetterberg(PP)
00:31Period end
vs MIN (Mar 12, 2010)@ ATL (Mar 16, 2010) ›